Chiefs expecting 2024 Pro Bowler to depart in free agency

From an offensive line perspective, the Chiefs‘ Super Bowl letdown was particularly interesting. The team rolled out a quintet housing two first-team All-Pros (center Creed Humphrey, left guard-turned-left tackle Joe Thuney) and saw Trey Smith secure his first Pro Bowl accolade. Yet, the Eagles still teed off on Patrick Mahomes to remind of the Buccaneers’ Super Bowl LV rampage.

Kansas City both built a formidable interior trio but saw its shaky tackle plan unravel at the worst time. Unlike in Super Bowl LV, when the AFC superpower played without injured starters Eric Fisher and Mitchell Schwartz, the Chiefs had their tackles healthy. They just could not hold up, with RT Jawaan Taylor continuing to struggle and the non-Thuney LT options — Wanya Morris, second-round rookie Kingsley Suamataia and in-season free agency addition D.J. Humphries — deemed less acceptable compared to kicking an All-Pro guard outside.

As the Chiefs will need a better answer at left tackle in 2025, they are bracing for their top in-house free agent to leave. Kansas City is expected to lose Smith once the market opens, according to the Washington Post’s Jason La Canfora. Despite the Chiefs showing interest in retaining Smith at the season’s outset, his situation has trended this way for a bit.

This will break up the interior trio the Chiefs built weeks after their Super Bowl LV blowout loss, as Thuney, Humphrey and Smith began playing together — to key a successful O-line turnaround following the rough Tampa night — in 2021. With Humphrey extended and Thuney signed for one more season, Smith appears the odd man out.

The Chiefs could make a last-ditch move to ensure Smith stays by using the franchise tag on the former sixth-round find, but guards are rarely tagged. The tag formula still classifies all offensive linemen under one umbrella, meaning top centers and guards would see the same tag number as tackles. Tackle salaries thus balloon guard tag figures, paving top interior blockers’ paths to the market. There have been a couple of exceptions in recent years, with Thuney — via a 2020 Patriots tag — being one of them. Washington also cuffed Brandon Scherff for two years. But the Chiefs have other issues to address. They appear to be willing to stomach losing an impact RG talent as a result.

Kansas City already cut into one of its strengths by kicking Thuney to LT. That move had stabilized the Chiefs’ line for a stretch, but the Eagles exposed the plan on the biggest stage. The three-time reigning AFC champions already gave Humphrey a monster center extension that checks in on its own tier (four years, $72M) at that position, and Thuney is tied to a $26.97M cap number in a contract year. The Chiefs could look into a Thuney extension to bring that down, but the ex-Patriots draftee is also now 32. Smith is 25, which will make his expected departure sting.

As the Chiefs could look into the likes of Ronnie Stanley and Cam Robinson to help stabilize their tackle spots, they still have Taylor on the books for a guaranteed $20M. By keeping Taylor on the roster in March 2024, the Chiefs saw the struggling RT’s 2025 base salary and $500K workout bonus lock in.

This money and the Humphrey and Thuney deals stand to limit the Chiefs up front, though one anonymous GM adds (via La Canfora) the team will likely show interest in Stanley and Robinson. Stanley is coming off his healthiest season since 2019, and that certainly would stand to make him more than a mere stopgap. The Vikings have Christian Darrisaw coming back after a season-ending injury, which would stand to point their emergency fill-in — Robinson — to the market.

The Bears have been linked to Smith, and multiple execs identified (via La Canfora) the Titans as a possible destination. Tennessee already dived into the veteran interior market last year, by signing center Lloyd Cushenberry, and used a first-round pick on left guard Peter Skoronski. The Titans still have a need at RG. A Tennessee alum, Smith should be expected to become the NFL’s fifth $20M-per-year guard if/when he hits free agency. Pro Football Focus has graded him as a top-15 option at the position in each of his four seasons, which will make a Chiefs replacement task difficult.