Best NBA Player Prop Bets 11/11/24

We’re back today with another exciting NBA slate featuring some of our favorite matchups here at Basketball Forever. With the help of advanced simulations and machine learning, our Basketball Forever bot has run thousands of simulations on every game to expertly pinpointed our best player prop bets for tonight’s slate.

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TODAYS TOP 5 VOAT PICKS

1. JAMES HARDEN OVER 7+ REBS

2. DE’AARON FOX OVER 3+ 3PM

3. DOMANTAS SABONIS OVER 10+ AST

4. DONOVAN MITCHELL OVER 5+ AST

5. BRANDON INGRAM UNDER 6+ AST

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1. DEMAR DEROZAN OVER 4.5 TOTAL ASSISTS (+122)

Odds: +122
Probability: 59.5%
Projection: 6.2
Edge: 14.5%
Game: Kings vs Spurs (8PM EST)

Our Basketball Forever betting bot has identified the best NBA player prop bet for today’s NBA matchups. The best player prop bet takes place in the Kings vs Spurs matchup, with DeMar DeRozan showing value in the total assist market. Our model has narrowed down DeMar DeRozan Over 4.5 assists as the best player prop bet for today. Over the course of the last five games, DeRozan has been able to exceed this line twice, falling short by one assist in another. He averages 4.3APG on the road, and gets a soft perimeter defensive opponent in the Spurs tonight.

Our model recommends placing a wager on DeMar DeRozan Over 4.5 Total Assists at +122 odds and an attractive 14.5% edge, making this our best player prop bet of the day.

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2. DOMANTAS SABONIS OVER 6.5 TOTAL ASSISTS (-138)

Odds: -138
Probability: 68.2%
Projection: 10.3
Edge: 10.3%
Game: Kings vs Spurs (8PM EST)

According to our model, another best player prop bet for today’s NBA slate also takes place in the Kings vs Spurs game, with Domantas Sabonis showing value in the total assists market. Sabonis has averaged 7.8APG over his last five. Our model projects he will have double digit dimes tonight, sharing the ball and scoring less with Wemby guarding him for the majority of his minutes.

The Basketball Forever betting bot recommends placing a wager on Domantas Sabonis Over 6.5 Total Assists, with an edge of 10.3% at -138 odds.

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3. DENNIS SCHRODER OVER 2.5 3-POINTERS MADE (+138)

Odds: +138
Probability: 52.1%
Projection: 2.7
Edge: 10.1%
Game: Nets vs Pelicans (8PM EST)

The next NBA player prop bet our betting bot recommends playing comes in the Nets vs Pelicans game, with Dennis Schroder showing value in the over 3-pointers made prop market.

Throughout the 24/25 season Schroder has been letting it fly, and he is averaging 3.1 3PM per game. He plays the Pelicans tonight who are heavily undermanned and banged up – and he should have plenty of opportunities to cover this number.

The Basketball Forever betting bot predicts Dennis Schroder Over 2.5 3-Pointers Made in tonight’s game, which gives us an 10.1% edge on the +138 odds.

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4. DARIUS GARLAND OVER 2.5 3-POINTERS MADE (-115)

Odds: -115
Probability: 63.1%
Projection: 3.8
Edge: 9.6%
Game: Cavaliers vs Bulls (8PM EST)

According to our model, the last best player prop bet for the NBA tonight features Darius Garland in the Cavaliers vs Bulls showdown. Our betting bot has found value in Darius Garland Over 2.5 3-Pointers Made.

Over the course of the 2024/25 season Garland averages 3.8 3-pointers per game, and he is absolutely flourishing as the second option behind Donovan Mitchell amidst Cleveland’s 11-0 (!) start. Expect no different tonight.

Our Basketball Forever betting bot highly recommends wagering on Darius Garland Over 2.5 3-Pointers Made, with a detected edge of 9.6% and -115 odds.

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