Best NBA Player Prop Bets 10/28/24

Another day of NBA betting has arrived, and we’re here to provide you with our top picks for Tuesday’s NBA basketball matchups. Our Basketball Forever betting bot has run thousands of simulations on each game today, selecting our top player prop bets for Monday, October 28, 2024.

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TODAYS TOP 5 VOAT PICKS

1. KLAY THOMPSON OVER 19+ PTS
– With Klay recently being acquired by the Mavericks, joining the likes of Kyrie and Doncic. In his first two games, he was able to rack up 19 and 22 points. If this trend continues with him, we can expect to see him hit the over tonight.

2. BRONNY JAMES UNDER 2+ REBS
– Since the start of the 24/25 season Bronny has had a lot of trouble finding his way onto the court. Throughout the Lakers first three games, Bronny has a combined total of three minutes played, with his only stat being 1 REB.

3. ZACH LAVINE Under 1+ STL
– Throughout the first three games, Lavine has only been able to total 2 STL, with both occurring in the most recent matchup. Our model believes he wont be able to get 1 STL in tonights game.

4. BAM ADEBAYO OVER 1+ 3PM
– Bam has been attempting some 3’s this season, with his stats showing that he went 0/2 in both of the first two games this season. Our model suspects that it’s just a matter of time before he sinks one. We recommend picking Bam’s over 1+ 3PM.

5. DONOVAN MITCHELL OVER 3+ 3PM
– So far this season Mitchell has been a powerhouse, racking up 6/11 3PM in their last matchup against the Wizards. Our model predicts that he’ll stay hot, racking up at least 3 3PM in tonights matchup against the Knicks.

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1. DE’AARON FOX OVER 1.5 TOTAL STEALS (-165)

Odds: -165
Probability: 67.6%
Projection: 3
Edge: 5.3%
Game: Trail Blazers vs Kings (10PM EST)

Our Basketball Forever betting bot has uncovered the best bet of the day, taking place in the Trail Blazers vs Kings matchup. In this matchup, our model has determined that De’Aaron Fox Over 1.5 Total Steals is a solid wager to place in tonight’s NBA slate. Fox has been able to average 1.5 STL through only two games played this season. When taking into account Fox’s record last season against the Trail Blazers, you can see that he was able to rack up an average of 3 STL per game. This leads our Basketball Forever betting bot to lean towards Fox’s over STL in tonights game.

Our Basketball Forever betting bot recommends placing a wager on De’Aaron Fox Over 1.5 Total Steals. With -108 odds and a 5.3% edge.

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2. LUKA DONCIC OVER 3.5 3-POINTERS MADE (+100)

Odds: +100
Probability: 65.6%
Projection: 5
Edge: 15.6%
Game: Jazz vs Mavericks (8:30PM EST)

The next NBA player prop bet our betting bot recommends playing comes in the Jazz vs Mavericks game, with Luka Doncic showing value in the over 3-pointers made prop market.

Over the course of the first two games of the 24/25 season Doncic has been able to average 4.5 3-pointers per game. Last season, when matched up against the Jazz, Luka was able to average a total of 3.8 3PM per game over the course of four games. Luka has always been hot from the arc, being one of the best 3-point shooters in recent times. Our model suspects that Luka will stay hot from the 3 line, with it projecting a total of 5 3PM in tonights game.

The Basketball Forever betting bot predicts Luka Doncic Over 3.5 3-Pointers Made in tonight’s game, which gives us a 15.6% edge on the +100 odds.

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3. DE’AARON FOX OVER 22.5 POINTS SCORED (-105)

Odds: -105
Probability: 62%
Projection: 28.7
Edge: 10.8%
Game: Trail Blazers vs Kings (10PM EST)

According to our model, another best player prop bet for today’s NBA slate also takes place in the Trail Blazers vs Kings game, with De’Aaron Fox showing value in the over points market. Throughout the 23/24 season Fox has been able to average a total of 26.6 points per game. When matched up against the Trail Blazers, the number jumps to an average of 33.5 points per game, through the four matches they’ve played against each other. With our model showing a projection of 28.7 PTS, and after comparing his stats when faced against the Trail Blazers, our Basketball Forever betting bot believes this is a no sweat bet.

The Basketball Forever betting bot recommends placing a wager on De’Aaron Fox Over 22.5 Points Scored, with an edge of 10.8% at -105 odds.

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4. DAMIAN LILLARD OVER 3.5 3-POINTERS MADE (+130)

Odds: +130
Probability: 53.8%
Projection: 3.8
Edge: 10.3%
Game: Bucks vs Celtics (7:30PM EST)

According to our model, the last best player prop bet for the NBA tonight features Damian Lillard in the Bucks vs Celtics showdown. Our betting bot has found value in Damian Lillard Over 3.5 3-Pointers Made.

Since the start of the 24/25 season, Lillard has been able to average 3.3 3-pointers per game. Our model predicts that Lillard will be able to exceed this line tonight – projecting 3.8 total dimes by the time the final whistle blows in the fourth quarter. Lillard has been able to cover this number in 1/3 of his past three games this season. With Lillard only covering this line in the first game of the season, our model believes that he is due to sink some more 3s.

Our Basketball Forever betting bot highly recommends wagering on Damian Lillard Over 3.5 3-Pointers Made, with a detected edge of 10.3% and +130 odds.

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