Warriors vs. Celtics odds, line, spread: 2021 NBA picks, Dec. 17 prediction, best bets from model on 44-20 run

The Golden State Warriors and Boston Celtics face off in a cross-conference showdown on Friday at TD Garden. The Warriors are 23-5 this season, with the Celtics entering at 14-14 overall. Klay Thompson (Achilles) and James Wiseman (knee) remain sidelined for the Warriors. Jabari Parker (protocols) is out for the Celtics.

Tipoff is at 7:30 p.m. ET in Boston. Caesars Sportsbook lists Golden State as the three-point favorite in the latest Warriors vs. Celtics odds. The over-under, or total number of points Vegas expects, is set at 215. Before locking in any Celtics vs. Warriors picks, be sure to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s proven model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks over the past three-plus seasons. The model enters Week 9 of the 2021-22 NBA season on a stunning 44-20 roll on all top-rated NBA picks, returning over $2,000. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Warriors vs. Celtics and just locked in its NBA picks and predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Now, here are several NBA odds and betting trends for Celtics vs. Warriors:

  • Warriors vs. Celtics spread: Warriors -3
  • Warriors vs. Celtics over-under: 215 points
  • Warriors vs. Celtics money line: Warriors -150, Celtics +130
  • GSW: The Warriors are 7-5 against the spread in road games
  • BOS: The Celtics are 5-6 against the spread in home games

Featured Game | Boston Celtics vs. Golden State Warriors

Why the Warriors can cover

The Warriors have the NBA’s most dynamic offensive force on the perimeter in Stephen Curry. Curry broke the league’s all-time career record for 3-pointers earlier this week, and he is averaging 26.9 points, 6.1 assists and 5.5 rebounds per game this season. He puts the pressure on defenses by making a whopping 5.4 3-pointers per contest, and Curry is the centerpiece of a top-five offense. 

The Warriors are scoring nearly 1.12 points per possession this season, with the No. 2 mark in the NBA in overall shooting efficiency. Golden State leads the league in assists, averaging 28.5 per game, and assist percentage, assisting on 69.2 percent of field goals. The Warriors are also in the top five in fast-break points, and Golden State is securing 27.4 percent of missed shots on the offensive glass. With that offensive potency combining with the NBA’s No. 1 defense this season, the Warriors are very difficult to beat.

Why the Celtics can cover

Boston’s defense is quite strong, and the Celtics have the mobility to match up with the Warriors. The Celtics are allowing only 107.1 points per 100 possessions, a top-10 mark in the NBA, and opponents are shooting only 44.3 percent against Boston. The Celtics are also No. 3 in the league in assists allowed (21.8 per game), with top-10 marks in defensive rebound rate (73.7 percent), blocked shots (5.5 per game), second-chance points allowed (12.1 per game) and points allowed in the paint (43.7 per game). 

Golden State’s biggest issue on either end is ball security, committing 16.0 turnovers per game and that helps Boston’s projection on defense. The Celtics also utilize the free-throw line well on offense, taking 21.4 attempts per game and making 81.6 percent of shots at the charity stripe. Both free-throw marks rank in the top five of the NBA, and the Celtics are in the top 10 in turnover avoidance, committing a giveaway on 13.8 percent of possessions.

How to make Celtics vs. Warriors picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning over on the total. The model also says one side of the spread hits almost 60 percent of the time. You can only see the model’s pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Warriors vs. Celtics? And which side of the spread hits almost 60 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks, and find out.

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