Warriors vs. Celtics odds, line, spread: 2021 NBA picks, April 17 predictions from model on 95-59 roll

The Golden State Warriors and Boston Celtics will both aim to continue winning streaks when they meet up on Saturday evening. The Warriors (28-28) have won four straight. The Celtics (30-26) are on a five-game winning streak, and Boston is 17-10 at TD Garden this season. Robert Williams (knee) and Evan Fournier (protocols) are out for Boston. Kelly Oubre (wrist) is questionable for Golden State, with Eric Paschall (hip) and James Wiseman (knee) ruled out.

Tip-off is at 8:30 p.m. ET in Boston. William Hill Sportsbook lists Boston as a five-point home favorite, while the over-under, or total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, is 228 in the latest Warriors vs. Celtics odds. Before making any Celtics vs. Warriors picks, be sure to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s proven computer model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times, and it has returned over $9,100 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks over the past two-plus seasons. The model is up over $1,100 on its top-rated picks this season, and dating back to last year, it entered Week 17 of the 2020-21 NBA schedule on a stunning 95-59 roll on top-rated NBA picks against the spread. Anybody who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Warriors vs. Celtics. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Now, here are several NBA odds and betting trends for Celtics vs. Warriors:

  • Warriors vs. Celtics spread: Celtics -5
  • Warriors vs. Celtics over-under: 228 points
  • Warriors vs. Celtics money line: Celtics -200; Warriors +175
  • GSW: The Warriors are 6-4 against the spread in the last 10 games
  • BOS: The Celtics are 5-5 against the spread in the last 10 games

Featured Game | Boston Celtics vs. Golden State Warriors

Why the Warriors can cover

Golden State is keyed by one of the best players in the NBA in Stephen Curry, and he is enjoying a tremendous season. Curry is averaging 30.7 points, 5.9 assists and 5.5 rebounds per game, and he connects on 42.2 percent of his 3-point chances. He is the biggest reason why the Warriors are above-average in effective field goal percentage (54.4 percent), and Golden State is a gifted passing team, leading the NBA with 27.6 assists per game. 

The Warriors are stout defensively, allowing only 1.10 points per possession, and that includes the No. 4 mark in 2-point shooting allowed (51.3 percent). Draymond Green remains one of the top defenders in the league, and the Warriors create a turnover on 15.1 percent of possessions. Finally, Golden State makes life difficult on opposing passers, holding opponents to just 24.1 assists per game, the No. 8 mark in the NBA this season.

Why the Celtics can cover

Boston is playing well right now and has the home-court advantage. The Celtics are out-scoring their opponents by 4.2 points per 100 possessions at TD Garden this season. In contrast, the Warriors are being out-scored by 4.4 points per 100 possessions in road games, giving Boston a sizable edge. From there, the Celtics are above-average on both ends of the floor, scoring nearly 1.14 points per possession overall and holding opponents below the league’s overall baseline defensively. 

Boston is a tremendous offensive rebounding team, pulling down 29.2 percent of its own missed shots, and that helps to prop the team’s scoring efficiency. On defense, the Celtics are holding opponents to just 23.7 assists per game and an effective field goal shooting mark of 53.8 percent. Boston also generates a turnover on 14.3 percent of defensive possessions, with above-average marks in steals (7.8 per game) and blocks (5.3 per game) this season.

How to make Celtics vs. Warriors picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning under on the total, projecting the teams to combine for 221 points. The model also says one side of the spread hits well over 50 percent of the time. You can get that pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Celtics vs. Warriors? And which side of the spread hits well over 50 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that is on a 95-59 roll on NBA picks.

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