Sixers vs. Bucks odds, line, spread: 2021 NBA picks, April 24 predictions from model on 96-60 roll

The Philadelphia 76ers and Milwaukee Bucks will face off in a rematch on Saturday afternoon after the Bucks defeated the Sixers by a 124-117 margin in Milwaukee on Thursday. Philadelphia is 39-20 this season, with Milwaukee entering at 36-22. Joel Embiid (shoulder) and Furkan Korkmaz (ankle) are questionable to play for the 76ers, with Ben Simmons (illness) ruled out.

Tip-off is at 3:30 p.m. ET in Milwaukee. Milwaukee is listed as the 7.5-point home favorite, holding steady from the opener, while the over-under, or total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, is 230 in the latest Bucks vs. Sixers odds. Before making any Sixers vs. Bucks picks, be sure to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s proven computer model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times, and it has returned over $9,200 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks over the past two-plus seasons. The model is up over $1,200 on its top-rated picks this season, and dating back to last year, it entered Week 18 of the 2020-21 NBA schedule on a stunning 96-60 roll on top-rated NBA picks against the spread. Anybody who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on 76ers vs. Bucks. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Now, here are several NBA odds and betting trends for Bucks vs. 76ers:

  • 76ers vs. Bucks spread: Bucks -7.5
  • 76ers vs. Bucks over-under: 230 points
  • PHL: The 76ers are 0-5 against the spread in the last five games
  • MIL: The Bucks are 4-6 against the spread in the last 10 games

Featured Game | Milwaukee Bucks vs. Philadelphia 76ers

Why the Sixers can cover

Philadelphia is tremendous defensively, ranking second in the NBA in allowing only 107.2 points per 100 possessions. The 76ers are a top-five team in effective field goal percentage allowed (52.4 percent), 2-point accuracy allowed (51.0 percent), turnover creation rate (15.2 percent), steals (8.9 per game) and blocks (6.3 per game), illustrating their overall effectiveness. Philadelphia is also elite at keeping its opponents away from the offensive glass, tying for the NBA lead in second-chance points allowed (11.2 per game). 

From there, the 76ers use size and acumen to limit assists (23.5 allowed per game) and points in the paint (46.0 per game), and they match up well with Milwaukee’s offensive attack. On the opposite end, Philadelphia leads the NBA in free throw creation, and the Sixers are also physically imposing. That also manifests in a top-tier offensive rebound rate of 27.9 percent, and Milwaukee ranks just 25th in the NBA in turnover creation rate defensively.

Why the Bucks can cover

Milwaukee is fantastic on both ends, and that leads to a highly effective overall formula. The Bucks rank in the top five of the NBA offensively, scoring more than 1.16 points per possession, and Mike Budenholzer’s team is No. 2 in 3-point accuracy at 39.4 percent. Milwaukee converts its shots at a top-five level overall (48.5 percent from the field), and they have two devastating scorers in Giannis Antetokounmpo and Khris Middleton. Defensively, the Bucks are allowing only 1.1 points per possession, with a bevy of top-five rankings in various metrics. 

Milwaukee is the No. 3 defensive rebounding team in the NBA, pulling down 75.5 percent of available chances, and the Bucks are No. 4 in field goal percentage allowed (45.5 percent). The Bucks are the No. 1 team in free throw prevention (17.9 attempts allowed per game), and they are No. 3 in the NBA in both fast break points allowed (10.4 per game) and points allowed in the paint (43.2 per game). Milwaukee can also take solace in Philadelphia’s lack of ball security, with the 76ers turning the ball over on 14.5 percent of possessions.

How to make Bucks vs. Sixers picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning under on the total, projecting the teams to combine for 229 points. The model also says one side of the spread hits well over 50 percent of the time. You can get that pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Bucks vs. Sixers? And which side of the spread hits well over 50 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that is on a roll on NBA picks.

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