Nets vs. Spurs prediction, odds, line, spread: 2023 NBA picks, Jan. 17 best bets from proven model

The Brooklyn Nets visit AT&T Center to take on the San Antonio Spurs on Tuesday evening. The Nets are 27-15 overall and 14-8 on the road, with the Spurs entering at 13-31 after five straight losses. Kevin Durant (knee) is out for Brooklyn with Kyrie Irving (calf) listed as questionable. Devin Vassell (knee) is out for San Antonio, with Doug McDermott (back) listed as questionable.

Caesars Sportsbook lists Brooklyn as a 4-point favorite, and tip-off is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET. The total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, or the over/under, is 229.5 in the latest Nets vs. Spurs odds. Before you make any NBA predictions with the Spurs vs. Nets match-up, you’ll want to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from the proven computer model at SportsLine.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past four-plus seasons. The model enters Week 14 of the 2022-23 NBA season on a stunning 45-20 roll on all top-rated NBA picks this season, returning more than $2,200. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Nets vs. Spurs and just locked in its picks and NBA predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Here are several NBA odds and betting lines for Spurs vs. Nets:

• Nets vs. Spurs spread: Nets -4
• Nets vs. Spurs over/under: 229.5 points
• Nets vs. Spurs money line: Nets -180, Spurs +152
• BKN: The Nets are 12-10 against the spread in road games
• SAS: The Spurs are 12-10 against the spread in home games
• Nets vs. Spurs picks: See picks at SportsLine

Why the Nets can cover

Brooklyn’s offense is fantastic this season, but its defense is also playing quite well. The Nets are in the top 10 of the league in defensive rating, yielding fewer than 1.12 points per possession. Brooklyn leads the NBA in blocked shots (7.0 per game) and 2-point percentage allowed (50.4%), and the Nets are in the top five in field goal percentage allowed (45.2%). San Antonio ranks in the bottom five of the NBA in offensive efficiency, and the Spurs commit a turnover on 15.4% of offensive possessions.

On the offensive end, Brooklyn is facing a San Antonio defense that is dead-last in the NBA in defensive efficiency, and the Nets are No. 1 in the league in shooting efficiency. That includes 50.8% from the field and 38.8% from 3-point range, and the Nets are in the top eight in fast break points (16.3 per game) and assists (26.3 per game).

Why the Spurs can cover

The Spurs are led by 23-year-old forward Keldon Johnson, who is enjoying a productive season with 21.1 points per game. San Antonio is also a fantastic passing team, ranking in the top five of the NBA in assist percentage and assists per game. The Spurs average more than 55 points in the paint per game, a top-five mark, and San Antonio is in the top eight in offensive rebound rate (30.3%) and second-chance points (15.6 per game). 

The Spurs are above-average in field goal percentage (47.3%), and San Antonio is facing a Brooklyn team that struggles to prevent free throw attempts, giving up 24.6 per game. On defense, the Spurs are very good at keeping opponents off the line (22.8 attempts allowed per game), and San Antonio should benefit from the Nets ranking dead-last in the NBA in offensive rebound rate at 22.7%.

How to make Spurs vs. Nets picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning Over on the total, projecting 240 combined points. The model also says one side of the spread hits in well over 50% of simulations. You can only see the model’s pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Nets vs. Spurs? And which side of the spread hits well over 50% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks, and find out.