Celtics vs. Heat prediction, odds, line, spread: 2023 NBA picks, Jan. 24 best bets from proven model

The top teams in the Eastern Conference regular season over the past two seasons clash when the Boston Celtics visit the Miami Heat on Tuesday night. The Celtics (35-13), who are coming off a 113-98 loss at Orlando, are the top seed in the East this season and are 17-8 in road games. The Heat (26-22), who were the No. 1 seed last year, have won six of the past 10 games and are 15-9 at home this season. This will be the fourth and final regular-season meeting between the teams, with the Celtics holding a 2-1 edge. Jaylen Brown (adductor), Al Horford (back), Marcus Smart (ankle) and Malcolm Brogdon (personal) are all out for Boston.

Tip-off from FTX Arena in Miami is set for 7:30 p.m. ET. The Celtics are averaging 118.5 points per game this season, second-best in the league, while the Heat average 108.6, worst in the NBA. Miami is the 4.5-point favorite in the latest Celtics vs. Heat odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over/under for total points scored is set at 215.5. Before making any Heat vs. Celtics picks, be sure to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s proven model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past four-plus seasons. The model enters Week 14 of the 2022-23 NBA season on a stunning 45-20 roll on all top-rated NBA picks this season, returning more than $2,200. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Celtics vs. Heat and just locked in its picks and NBA predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Here are several NBA odds and betting lines for Heat vs. Celtics:

  • Celtics vs. Heat spread: Heat -4.5
  • Celtics vs. Heat over/under: 215.5 points
  • Celtics vs. Heat money line: Heat -190, Celtics +158
  • BOS: The Celtics are 5-0-1 against the spread in their last six games playing on zero days’ rest
  • MIA: The Heat are 5-1 ATS in their last six games following an ATS loss
  • Celtics vs. Heat picks: See picks at SportsLine

Featured Game | Miami Heat vs. Boston Celtics

Why the Celtics can cover

Point guard Derrick White is a key component to Boston’s success. He has started 40 of 48 games and averages 9.8 points, 3.4 assists and three rebounds per game. He has reached double-digit scoring in 22 games, including one double-double, when he registered 16 points and 10 assists in a 126-102 win at Atlanta on Nov. 16. He scored 19 points in a 130-118 victory over Charlotte on Jan. 16.

Small forward Jayson Tatum has been dominant of late, scoring 30 or more points in three of the last four games, including a 51-point performance in a 130-118 win over the Charlotte Hornets on Jan. 16. In Thursday’s 121-118 overtime win over Golden State, he poured in 34 points and grabbed 19 rebounds. He has 17 double-doubles and one triple-double on the year, including a 29-point, 14-rebound and 10-assist effort in a 124-95 win over Dallas on Jan. 5. Entering Tuesday, Tatum ranks third in the league with 31 PPG, while also putting up 8.4 rebounds and 4.4 assists per game.

Why the Heat can cover

Despite that, Boston isn’t a lock to cover the Celtics vs. Heat spread. That’s because Miami is led by small forward Jimmy Butler, who is the model of consistency when it comes to scoring. He leads the Heat by averaging 21.6 points, 6.1 rebounds, five assists and 2.1 steals per game, and is averaging 21.1 points in 11 games this month. He has five double-doubles on the season and is Miami’s all-time leader in triple-doubles with 11.

Also powering the Heat is center Bam Adebayo, who averages 21.4 points, 10.1 rebounds, three assists and 1.1 steals per game. Adebayo has 23 double-doubles on the season, including four in the past six games. He had 18 points and 11 rebounds in Friday’s win at Dallas. He has scored 20 or more points 25 times this year, including a 26-point effort in Wednesday’s 124-98 win at New Orleans.

How to make Heat vs. Celtics picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning Over on the total, projecting 221 combined points. The model also says one side of the spread hits in well over 50% of simulations. You can only see the model’s pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Celtics vs. Heat? And which side of the spread hits well over 50% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks, and find out.

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