Bucks vs. Pacers odds, line, spread: 2021 NBA picks, May 13 predictions from model on 99-64 roll

The Milwaukee Bucks and the Indiana Pacers face off in a Central Division matchup on Thursday. Bankers Life Fieldhouse will host the proceedings, with the Bucks aiming to improve on an impressive 44-25 overall record. The Pacers are 33-36 overall and looking to bolster their playoff positioning. Malcolm Brogdon (hamstring), Myles Turner (toe), Jeremy Lamb (knee) and Edmond Sumner (knee) are out for the Pacers. Aaron Holiday (toe) is listed as questionable.

Tip-off is at 7 p.m. ET in Indianapolis. William Hill Sportsbook lists Milwaukee as an 8.5-point road favorite, holding steady from the opener, while the over-under, or total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, is 241 in the latest Bucks vs. Pacers odds. Before making any Pacers vs. Bucks picks, be sure to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s proven computer model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned over $9,100 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks over the past two-plus seasons. The model is up over $1,100 on its top-rated picks this season and entered Week 21 of the 2020-21 NBA schedule on a stunning 99-64 roll on top-rated NBA picks against the spread dating back to last season. Anybody who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Bucks vs. Pacers. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Now, here are several NBA odds and betting trends for Pacers vs. Bucks:

  • Bucks vs. Pacers spread: Bucks -8.5
  • Bucks vs. Pacers over-under: 241 points
  • MIL: The Bucks are 4-6 against the spread in the last 10 games
  • IND: The Pacers are 5-5 against the spread in the last 10 games

Featured Game | Indiana Pacers vs. Milwaukee Bucks

Why the Bucks can cover

The Bucks are one of the best teams in the NBA, deploying top-shelf units on both ends of the floor. Milwaukee allows fewer than 1.11 points per possession defensively. The Bucks are a top-five team in defensive rebound rate (75.5 percent), fouls (17.4 per game), free throw attempts allowed (19.0 per game) and field goal percentage allowed (45.6 percent). From there, Milwaukee is also very strong at creating havoc with 8.2 steals per game, and the Bucks should have a dominant edge in the overall rebounding battle against a Pacers team that is dead-last in defensive rebounding. 

Offensively, Milwaukee scores more than 1.16 points per possession, with the No. 2 mark in the NBA in effective field goal shooting (56.5 percent). The Bucks take care of the ball at an above-average level, committing a turnover on only 13.5 percent of possessions, and with Giannis Antetokounmpo leading the way, they have star power to generate quality shot attempts.

Why the Pacers can cover

Indiana is a high-end passing team, ranking No. 2 in the NBA in producing 27.2 assists per game. The Pacers are also a top-10 team in both free throw accuracy (79.3 percent) and ball security, turning the ball over on only 13.2 percent of possessions. The Bucks rarely force turnovers defensively, ranking 25th in the NBA in turnover creation rate, and Milwaukee has a glaring weakness in defending the 3-point arc. The Bucks are last in 3-pointers allowed (14.7 per game) and 28th in 3-point accuracy allowed (38.1 percent). 

On the other end, the Pacers lead the NBA in blocks (6.5 per game), with top-six marks in steals (8.5 per game), 3-pointers allowed (11.5 per game) and 2-point shooting allowed (52.0 percent). The Bucks are below-average in both free throw creation (21.0 attempts per game) and accuracy (76.1 percent), which could be an edge for the Pacers.

How to make Pacers vs. Bucks picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning under on the total, projecting the teams to combine for 231 points. The model also says one side of the spread hits well over 60 percent of the time. You can get that pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Pacers vs. Bucks? And which side of the spread hits well over 60 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that is on a roll on NBA picks.

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