2020 NBA Playoffs: Clippers vs. Nuggets odds, picks, Game 4 predictions from model on 61-33 roll

The Los Angeles Clippers take on the Denver Nuggets in Game 4 of a best-of-seven series on Wednesday evening. The Clippers assumed control of the matchup with a victory in Game 3, while the Nuggets will aim to even the series with a win in Game 4. Will Barton (knee) is out for the Nuggets. The Clippers report no injuries ahead of Wednesday’s tilt.

Tip-off is at 9 p.m. ET in Orlando. William Hill lists the Clippers as eight-point favorites, while the over-under, or total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, is 220.5 in the latest Clippers vs. Nuggets odds. Before you make any Nuggets vs. Clippers picks, be sure to see the NBA predictions from SportsLine’s proven computer model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times, and it’s already returned over $5,000 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks this season. It entered the week on a blistering 61-33 run on top-rated NBA spread picks, returning almost $2,500 on those picks alone. It’s also a sizzling 11-3 on top-rated picks since the NBA’s restart in July. Anybody who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Clippers vs. Nuggets. You can visit SportsLine now to see the picks. Here are the NBA odds from William Hill and trends for Nuggets vs. Clippers:

  • Clippers vs. Nuggets spread: Clippers -8
  • Clippers vs. Nuggets over-under: 220.5 points
  • Clippers vs. Nuggets money line: Clippers -355, Nuggets +295
  • LAC: The Clippers are 5-5 against the spread in the last 10 games
  • DEN: The Nuggets are 7-3 against the spread in the last 10 games

Why the Clippers can cover

The Clippers are widely recognized as one of the leading contenders to claim the NBA championship, and their two-way impact is a big reason for that optimism. Kawhi Leonard and company ranked as the second-best offensive team in the NBA during the regular season, scoring 1.14 points per possession. In the postseason, the Clippers have been even better, scoring 1.19 points per possession and leading the way among teams remaining in the playoffs. Los Angeles was also the league’s most efficient team at creating free throw attempts during the regular season, and the Clippers rank second in the postseason in shooting efficiency, including a 61.3 percent true shooting mark. 

Defensively, the Clippers have been hit-or-miss in the playoffs, but L.A. did rank as a top-five team in both shooting efficiency allowed and points allowed per possession during the regular season. When engaged, few teams are better in stopping opponents, and Doc Rivers will be looking to create more consistency and effort defensively in Game 4.

Why the Nuggets can cover

The Nuggets are an explosive team on the offensive end, and that was on full display in Game 2 and most of Game 3. Nikola Jokic is one of the game’s best offensive hubs, averaging 25.7 points, 9.0 rebounds and 5.3 assists per game in the playoffs, and Jamal Murray, averaging 27.4 points in the postseason, provides a high-upside element on the perimeter. 

All told, the Nuggets rank No. 4 in the postseason in offense, scoring nearly 1.14 points per possession, and Denver lands in the top three in both offensive rebound rate and assist-to-turnover ratio in the NBA Playoffs. The Nuggets are also excellent at avoiding turnovers, giving the ball away on only 12.9 percent of possessions during their playoff run. Defensively, the Nuggets have their hands full with the Clippers, but L.A. ranks third-worst in the NBA Playoffs in assist rate, relying heavily on 1-on-1 creation.

How to make Clippers vs. Nuggets picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning over on the total, with Leonard and Murray projected to exceed their regular-season scoring averages. It also says one side of the spread hits well over 50 percent of the time. You can only get the pick at SportsLine

So who wins Nuggets vs. Clippers? And which side of the spread hits in well over 50 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Clippers vs. Nuggets spread to jump on, all from the advanced model that is up over $5,000 on its top-rated NBA picks this season, and find out.

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