2020 NBA Playoffs: Celtics vs. Raptors odds, picks, Game 4 predictions from proven model on 60-33 roll

OG Anunoby converted a last-second, game-winning 3-pointer on Thursday evening, pushing the Toronto Raptors to a desperately needed victory over the Boston Celtics. The teams take the floor again on Saturday evening for Game 4, with the Celtics still boasting a 2-1 advantage in the series. The Raptors will operate without Oshae Brissett (knee) and Patrick McCaw (knee) on Saturday. Tremont Waters (knee) is questionable for Boston, with Gordon Hayward (ankle) ruled out for the Celtics.

Tip-off for this 2020 NBA Playoffs matchup is 6:30 p.m. ET at HP Field House in Orlando. William Hill opened Toronto as the one-point favorite, but the latest Celtics vs. Raptors odds show Boston favored by 1.5 points. The over-under for total points expected is 214.5. Before making any Raptors vs. Celtics picks, be sure to see the NBA predictions from SportsLine’s proven computer model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times, and it’s already returned over $5,000 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks this season. It entered the week on a blistering 60-33 run on top-rated NBA spread picks, returning almost $2,400 on those picks alone. It’s also a sizzling 10-2 on top-rated picks since the NBA’s restart in July. Anybody who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Celtics vs. Raptors. You can visit SportsLine now to see the picks. Here are the NBA odds from William Hill and trends for Raptors vs. Celtics:

  • Celtics vs. Raptors spread: Celtics -1.5
  • Celtics vs. Raptors over-under: 214.5 points
  • Celtics vs. Raptors money line: Celtics -120, Toronto +100
  • BOS: The Celtics are 7-3 against the spread in the last 10 games
  • TOR: The Raptors are 5-5 against the spread in the last 10 games

Why the Celtics can cover

The Celtics are led by a two-headed monster in Jayson Tatum and Kemba Walker. Tatum is now the face of the franchise after making a considerable leap this season and, in the postseason, he is averaging 25.4 points and 9.3 rebounds per game. Walker slots into a supporting role as a result, but the All-Star point guard is averaging 23.0 points per game, including a strong showing in Game 3. On the whole, the Celtics are one of the NBA’s best offensive teams, ranking in the top four of the league in points per possession this season. 

Boston also has a clear path to success on the offensive glass, grabbing 27.1 percent of available rebounds after misses this season, with Toronto ranking in the bottom 10 in defensive rebounding, securing only 73.7 percent of defensive rebound opportunities. Defensively, the Celtics have been stellar in the series, allowing under one point per possession, and Boston ranks No. 2 in the NBA Playoffs 2020 in overall defensive rating. Against a Raptors team with a middling offense, the Celtics should be able to maintain success on the defensive side throughout the series.

Why the Raptors can cover 

Nick Nurse’s team is led by its defense, ranking No. 2 in the NBA in points allowed per possession during the regular season. Toronto boasts top-two rankings in the NBA in shooting efficiency allowed and turnover rate dating back to the regular season, and the Raptors deploy lineups without any tangible defensive weaknesses. In Game 3, the Raptors were able to create transition opportunities by generating stops, and that led to 12 fast-break points. Toronto led the NBA in transition scoring during the regular season, and that is an area to focus on in this matchup. 

Offensively, the Raptors are a top-10 team in the NBA in generating free throws, while the Celtics rank near the bottom of the league in preventing opponents from getting to the line. Kyle Lowry and Pascal Siakam attacked the rim with impunity in Game 3, with both Lowry and Fred VanVleet putting pressure on the defense with long-range shooting.

How to make Celtics vs. Raptors picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning over on the total, with Tatum and Marc Gasol projected to exceed their season-long scoring averages. The model also says one side of the spread hits well over 50 percent of the time. You can only get the pick at SportsLine

So who wins Raptors vs. Celtics? And which side of the spread hits in well over 50 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Celtics vs. Raptors spread to jump on, all from the advanced model that is up over $5,000 on its top-rated NBA picks this season, and find out.

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