After a wild-card weekend that can only be described as “interesting,” the 2020 NFL Playoffs now jump right into the divisional round. Not everyone seemed to be a fan of the expanded bracket last week, but it certainly provided a full slate for DFS managers. The depth charts of eight teams now remain, and whether you play on DraftKings, FanDuel, or Yahoo, you will need to choose each roster spot wisely to bring in some daily fantasy football winnings before Super Bowl Sunday on Feb. 7.
My job, all 17 regular-season weeks and now two weeks into the postseason, is to scan the vast projections on RotoQL and pick my favorite sleepers and value picks. If you checked this column out last week, you would have benefited from our advice to plug in the following players (all wild-card weekend prices and fantasy points production via DraftKings):
- Ben Roethlisberger ($6,100): 41.1 fantasy points
- Drew Brees ($5,700): 18.8
- Nick Chubb ($6,700): 24.5
- Jonathan Taylor ($7,900): 14.6
- Chase Claypool ($5,200): 22.9
- Marquise Brown ($5,400): 19.8
- Logan Thomas ($4,900): 12.4
These players all vastly outperformed their price tiers, with a few even leading their positions for the week. By finding such great values at modest costs, DFS managers afforded themselves even more consistent studs in other roster spots.
MORE DIVISIONAL ROUND DFS: Lineup Builder
You can read divisional round weekend previews and fantasy prediction articles 24/7 on BetQL, find out which side the pros are betting on their NFL expert picks dashboard, follow all the NFL public betting data, and build DraftKings lineups on RotoQL.
Let’s break down our top divisional round DFS value plays, and you can get an idea of why 100,000 DFS players trust RotoQL to build lineups. We constantly monitor pricing and provide the most up-to-date insight and analysis to maximize your lineup success. Optimize, find value plays, and increase your chances of cashing today!
Divisional Round NFL DFS Picks: QB sleepers, values
Baker Mayfield, Cleveland Browns at Kansas City Chiefst (DK: $5,300 | FD: $7,400)
In one of the more shocking developments of wild-card weekend, Mayfield and the Browns absolutely laid the hammer down on the Steelers. In the 48-37 barnburner, Mayfield passed for 263 yards and three touchdowns and finished with a 115.2 QB rating against a Steelers defense ranked top three in points, yards, and passing. The 2018 No. 1 pick has clearly taken a huge step forward in his third season, and he proved last week that he can be more than a game manager in big games against good defenses. Now he gets to prove himself on an even larger stage, going up against 2018 MVP Patrick Mahomes and his defending-champion Chiefs at Arrowhead Stadium. Kansas City ranks 26th in fantasy points allowed to QBs, and Arrowhead will be at limited capacity. RotoQL projects Mayfield at 15.4 fantasy points with a 33.5-point ceiling. I think Baker cooks up another 20-plus points this week and maybe even serves up another upset.
Drew Brees, New Orleans Saints vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (DK: $5,600 | FD: $7,300)
Cue the “History Channel” quips surrounding this game, as starting QBs Brees and Tom Brady will have a combined age of 85 at kickoff. Brees actually turns 42 on Friday, and he’s clearly put his punctured lung and 11 broken ribs in the rear-view mirror. He has averaged 18.08 fantasy points since his Week 15 return from IR, and he logged 23.68 points against the Bucs in Tampa back in Week 9. Don’t tell my Brady-obsessed friends in New England, but I think Brees leads New Orleans back to the NFC Championship Game for the second time in three years (and only the third time since the Super Bowl-winning 2009 Saints). Consider riding the birthday boy in the battle of the elder statesmen.
Divisional Round DraftKings, FanDuel Picks: RB sleepers, values
Cam Akers, Los Angeles Rams at Green Bay Packers (DK: $5,700 | FD: $7,000)
Akers powered LA to a stunning 30-20 upset over the Seahawks in Seattle last week, with the rookie netting 176 scrimmage yards and a score. He has been an absolute stud since Week 12, averaging 17.1 PPR points per game in that span. Regardless of who starts under center for the Rams this week, Akers seems like too much of a value to pass up at $5,700. Green Bay’s defense ranks 28th in fantasy points allowed to RBs this season. RotoQL projects him to score 14.7 points with a 28.6-point ceiling.
Kareem Hunt, Cleveland Browns at Kansas City Chiefs (DK: $4,800 | FD: $6,200)
Hunt narrowly missed my list last week, as he let me down after I featured him one week prior in a meaningless Week 17 dud game. He promptly scored 19.1 PPR points in wild-card weekend, helping Mayfield and the Browns steamroll their way into the divisional round. Hunt’s dual-threat talent, in a game projected to total over 55 points, should pique the interest of savvy DFS managers. The Chiefs rank 25th against RBs in fantasy, and their defense could be rusty after sitting some studs in Week 17 ahead of their first-round playoff bye. Kansas City allowed the Chargers to rack up 135 yards and two touchdowns on the ground in Week 17 and nearly surrendered 2,000 total rushing yards during the regular season. Hunt and lead back Nick Chubb will be very busy, win or lose. RotoQL lists his ceiling at 29 fantasy points.
High-risk, high-reward pick:
Devin Singletary, Buffalo Bills vs. Baltimore Ravens (DK: $4,500 | FD: $5,700)
Rookie back Zack Moss suffered a postseason-ending ankle injury last week, leaving QB Josh Allen with Singletary as the bellcow of the backfield. The Ravens defense is stout but will be primarily focusing its attention on Allen’s high-flying passing game. There’s some boom appeal here, as Singletary is capable of racking up some yards out of the backfield or in the screen game.
Divisional Round FanDuel, DraftKings Picks: WR sleepers, values
Chris Godwin, Tampa Bay Buccaneers at New Orleans Saints (DK: $6,100 | FD: $7,500)
While Mike Evans, Antonio Brown, and Rob Gronkowski seem to get the most buzz in Tampa, Tom Brady’s best receiver is Godwin. He’s a great route-runner, and he’s sure-handed. With his midseason thumb injury now a distant memory, Godwin has averaged 23.8 PPR points over the Bucs’ past three games. He saw 28 targets from Brady in that span, including a whopping 12 last week in the 31-23 win over Washington. Brady should keep his new favorite wideout busy again this week, with Evans likely blanketed by familiar foe Marshon Lattimore.
Jarvis Landry, Cleveland Browns at Kansas City Chiefs (DK: $5,600 | FD: $6,900)
All aboard the Browns bandwagon! I hate to keep bringing up Cleveland players here, but I just can’t look the other way from some of these prices. Landry has averaged 18.5 PPR points in the Browns’ past three games and nearly 20 points per game over their past six. Among Cleveland receivers, he’s the undisputed leader in snaps, target share, and production. Mayfield will be slinging the ball early and often, and Landry will once again benefit. Kansas City has a good pass defense, but so did Pittsburgh the last couple weeks.
High-risk, high-reward pick:
Marquez Valdes-Scantling, Green Bay Packers vs. Los Angeles Rams (DK: $3,800 | FD: $5,500)
MVS has been one of the more volatile boom-or-bust receivers in the NFL this season, but MVP candidate Aaron Rodgers always seems to send the deep ball his way in big games. The third-year receiver logged 17.1 fantasy points in Week 17 and averaged a league-leading 20.9 yards per catch on the year. If you’re strapped with just the flex position left, Valdes-Scantling might be worth the bargain-bin buy.
Divisional Round NFL DFS Picks: TE sleepers, values
Mark Andrews, Baltimore Ravens at Buffalo Bills (DK: $5,000 | FD: $6,600)
Andrews serves as one of the few reliable tight ends in fantasy, and he now draws a Bills defense that has been the second-most generous to the position this season. He has been fairly quiet the past couple weeks, but his floor remains higher than anyone else at or below his price range, and he will be busy in what should be a high-scoring game. Fire him up if you don’t have the dough for Travis Kelce.
Austin Hooper, Cleveland Browns at Kansas City Chiefs (DK: $3,800 | FD: $5,500)
I know, I know — I look like I belong in the Dawg Pound (and I’ll be in the dog house if Cleveland lays an egg this week). But in Cleveland’s past four games, Hooper has scored 15.1, 14.1, 13.7, and, most recently, 17.6 PPR points. That’s awesome consistency from a guy who plays a position largely devoid of consistent studs. Scoop up Hoop.
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Divisional Round NFL DFS values: D/ST sleepers
Buffalo Bills vs. Baltimore Ravens (DK: $2,900 | FD: $4,000)
Leslie Frazier’s defense has been one of the surprises of the second half of the 2020 season, and RotoQL lists it as the best value of the sub-$3,000 units on DraftKings. Lamar Jackson and the Ravens have been much more mistake-prone this season than last, and they will have to throw the ball early and often to stand a chance against Josh Allen in Buffalo. I like the upside here.
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