But dig deeper into the poll and you find even more for Republicans to like.
* Just 43% of voters approve of the job Joe Biden is doing as president while 53% disapprove. Almost 6 in 10 self-identified independents (58%) said they disapprove of how Biden is handling independents.
* Speaking of independents, they have moved away from McAuliffe and to Youngkin over the last month. In a September Monmouth poll, McAuliffe led among independents by a 46%-37% margin. In the new poll? Youngkin leads 48% to 39%.
* Almost half (49%) of Republicans said they were more enthusiastic to vote in this election than in past races. Just 26% of Democrats said the same.
An erosion of independents. An unpopular President. An enthusiasm gap. A losing issue gaining prominence.
That is a LOT of bad news for McAuliffe and Democrats more broadly — suggesting that the race may well be slipping away from them at exactly the wrong time.
The Point: Rightly or wrongly, what happens in Virginia in two weeks’ time will be analyzed as a sign of what’s to come for both parties in 2022. And right now it’s not looking good for Democrats.
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